Farense U23 2-0 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.17/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.35
-16% / +116% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
04.03.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
2-0
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 got the better of Sporting Braga U23 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 48% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 52%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Farense U23 and 1.00 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Farense U23 2-0 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 30%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga U23 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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