Famalicao U23 2-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.69/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.47
-5% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao U23
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
09.04.2024 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 4-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao U23
2-1
AWAY Estrela U23
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Famalicao U23 edged past Estrela U23 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Famalicao U23 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Famalicao U23 had 66% of the ball to Estrela U23's 34%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Famalicao U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Famalicao U23 and 0.00 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23?

Famalicao U23 2-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Famalicao U23 50%, draw 25%, Estrela U23 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Famalicao U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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