Gil Vicente U23 1-2 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Apr 2025

Gil Vicente U23
1-2
Sporting CP U23
📅15/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2024/2025

Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gil Vicente U23 v Sporting CP U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.63/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
-59% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.4

Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.02.2025 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
09.04.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 3-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23

Gil Vicente U23 1-2 Sporting CP U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1-2
AWAY Sporting CP U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 squeezed past Gil Vicente U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 49% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 51%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 1.67 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Gil Vicente U23 1-2 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 38%, draw 27%, Sporting CP U23 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
15 Apr 2025
13:00 Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23 Analysis →
13:00 Rio Ave U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Analysis →
17:00 Torreense U23 vs Vizela U23 Analysis →
17:00 Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23 Analysis →
17:00 Famalicao U23 vs Estrela U23 Analysis →