Rio Ave U23 2-0 União de Leiria U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Feb 2026

📅19/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.68/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-2% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2-0
AWAY União de Leiria U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs União de Leiria U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 saw off União de Leiria U23 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 47% of the ball to União de Leiria U23's 53%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-0 União de Leiria U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs União de Leiria U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 55%, draw 21%, União de Leiria U23 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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