Gil Vicente U23 2-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Feb 2026

📅19/02/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.70/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.88
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
25.02.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-5 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-1
AWAY Estoril U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gil Vicente U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 47% of the ball to Estoril U23's 53%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.00 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 43%, draw 25%, Estoril U23 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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