Estoril U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.81/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.22
+11% / +130% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-5 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and Gil Vicente U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 46% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 54%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.50 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Estoril U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 52%, draw 23%, Gil Vicente U23 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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