Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.65/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.24
-7% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-4 HT 0-3 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
19.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
2-1
AWAY Portimonense U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 edged past Portimonense U23 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 53% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 47%, shots finished 13-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting Braga U23 and 0.00 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 48%, draw 27%, Portimonense U23 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✗ Under 2.5
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