Mafra U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒14:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.05/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-33% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rio Ave U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 2-0 HT 1-0 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 4-2 HT 3-2 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
2-0
AWAY Rio Ave U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 got the better of Rio Ave U23 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Mafra U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 45% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 55%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mafra U23 and 2.00 for Rio Ave U23.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Mafra U23 2-0 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 39%, draw 24%, Rio Ave U23 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mafra U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mafra U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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