Estrela U23 2-0 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.89/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.76
-40% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +81%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
21.09.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
12.03.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-4 HT 0-2 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
2-0
AWAY Sporting CP U23
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 got the better of Sporting CP U23 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 47% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 53%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U23 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.50 for Sporting CP U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Estrela U23 2-0 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 26%, draw 28%, Sporting CP U23 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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