Gil Vicente U23 2-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 38%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.72/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.49
-52% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-5 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
2-1
AWAY Estoril U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente U23 edged past Estoril U23 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Gil Vicente U23 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 51% of the ball to Estoril U23's 49%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gil Vicente U23 and 2.33 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23?

Gil Vicente U23 2-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 33%, draw 28%, Estoril U23 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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