Portimonense U23 3-4 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.57
-30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
207 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
26.04.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 0-4 HT 0-3 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
19.02.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
3-4
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 edged past Portimonense U23 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 56% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 44%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Portimonense U23 and 2.33 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Portimonense U23 3-4 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 38%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga U23 35%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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