Leixoes U23 1-2 Farense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.3pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.32/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Farense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Farense U23 Farense U23 2-1 HT 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Farense U23 Farense U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-2
AWAY Farense U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Farense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 edged past Leixoes U23 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Farense U23 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 44% of the ball to Farense U23's 56%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Farense U23 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.00 for Farense U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Farense U23?

Leixoes U23 1-2 Farense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Farense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 34%, draw 32%, Farense U23 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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