Benfica U23 1-1 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.10/2.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.72
+22% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vizela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2025 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 3-1 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
09.04.2024 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 2-2 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
06.02.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-1 Vizela U23 Vizela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
1-1
AWAY Vizela U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 and Vizela U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Benfica U23 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 56% of the ball to Vizela U23's 44%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica U23 and 2.00 for Vizela U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23?

Benfica U23 1-1 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 48%, draw 24%, Vizela U23 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Over 2.5
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