Alta 3-1 Ventura Country Fusion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ventura Country Fusion EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
3-1
AWAY Ventura Country Fusion
2.91 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 0
454 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Alta vs Ventura Country Fusion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta got the better of Ventura Country Fusion 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alta as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alta had 61% of the ball to Ventura Country Fusion's 39%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.91 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Alta vs Ventura Country Fusion?

Alta 3-1 Ventura Country Fusion in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Ventura Country Fusion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alta 42%, draw 23%, Ventura Country Fusion 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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