Tulsa Athl. 0-1 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
35%
+11.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tulsa Athl. EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 43%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tulsa Athl.
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Tulsa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.13 xG 0.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
158 Passes 293
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2023 Tulsa Athl. Tulsa Athl. 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tulsa Athl.
0-1
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.33 xG 1.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
104 Passes 189
46% Pass Accuracy 60%
12 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tulsa Athl. vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over Tulsa Athl. 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tulsa Athl. at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tulsa Athl. had 41% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 59%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.33 to 1.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tulsa's control.

What was the final score of Tulsa Athl. vs FC Tulsa?

Tulsa Athl. 0-1 FC Tulsa in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tulsa Athl. vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tulsa Athl. win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tulsa Athl. 46%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tulsa Athl.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tulsa Athl.) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABDK More USA - Open Cup
19 Mar 2025
01:30 Hartford Athletic vs NY Shockers Analysis →
02:00 Miami FC vs Naples Utd Analysis →
02:00 NJ Alliance vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →
02:00 Sarasota Paradise vs Naples Analysis →
02:30 FC Motown vs Westchester SC Analysis →
02:30 Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →