Leixoes U23 3-0 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Mar 2025

📅19/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+8.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.44/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.86
-74% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Mafra U23
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
02.04.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-3 HT 1-1 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
30.01.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
3-0
AWAY Mafra U23
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 swept aside Mafra U23 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Leixoes U23 made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 41% of the ball to Mafra U23's 59%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leixoes U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Leixoes U23 and 1.67 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23?

Leixoes U23 3-0 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 36%, draw 24%, Mafra U23 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mafra U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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