Alianza 2-1 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 19%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +11%
1.82/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.51
+3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cacahuatique
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
22.01.2026 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
14.12.2025 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 1-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
08.12.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
25.09.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-1 HT 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
24.07.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.05.2025 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 2-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Cacahuatique 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alianza and 0.67 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Alianza 2-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alianza 58%, draw 24%, Cacahuatique 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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