Aguila 1-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
16%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22.01.2026 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 4-2 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
30.11.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
25.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 1-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.07.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.04.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Isidro Metapan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguila and 1.50 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Isidro Metapan?

Aguila 1-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aguila 48%, draw 28%, Isidro Metapan 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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