Aguila 2-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.59/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.28
+25% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 1-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.07.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.04.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
06.10.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-4 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
04.08.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila squeezed past Isidro Metapan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aguila and 1.33 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Isidro Metapan?

Aguila 2-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aguila 43%, draw 29%, Isidro Metapan 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
24 Nov 2025
00:00 Cacahuatique vs FAS Analysis →
00:00 Platense vs Luis Angel Firpo Analysis →
00:00 Municipal Limeno vs Alianza Analysis →