Aguila 1-2 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.8pp
19%
Draw
27%
-8.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 30%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.66/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.07
+31% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
24.07.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.04.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
06.10.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-4 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
04.08.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
11.04.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan edged past Aguila 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aguila and 1.17 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Isidro Metapan?

Aguila 1-2 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aguila 49%, draw 19%, Isidro Metapan 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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