Alianza 2-1 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 25 Sep 2025

📅25/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +21%
1.84/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.47
+7% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cacahuatique
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
24.07.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-2 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
11.05.2025 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 2-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
08.05.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.03.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-4 HT 0-3 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
26.01.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 1-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
04.10.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Cacahuatique 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Alianza 2-1 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 25/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alianza 51%, draw 26%, Cacahuatique 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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