Isidro Metapan 2-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.9
No
65%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
49%
-14.0pp
65%
BTTS No
51%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.11/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.96
-6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 5
27.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
06.10.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-4 HT 0-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
04.08.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
11.04.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.02.2024 Aguila Aguila 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
04.12.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan and Aguila shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.67 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Aguila?

Isidro Metapan 2-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 40%, draw 24%, Aguila 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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