Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.13
No
65%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+11.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
43%
-7.8pp
65%
BTTS No
57%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
0.83/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.88
-9% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
162 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
27.02.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
01.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
03.12.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco edged past Alianza 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 30%, draw 23%, Alianza 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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