Once Deportivo 1-3 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 24 Apr 2025

📅24/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.05/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.71
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
27.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 4-1 HT 0-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
09.12.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
05.12.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
28.10.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
26.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 HT 1-2 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 5-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo saw off Once Deportivo 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Once Deportivo and 2.83 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Once Deportivo 1-3 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 24/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 29%, draw 25%, Luis Angel Firpo 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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