Luis Angel Firpo 4-1 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.68
Over 2.5
35%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
56%
+9.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
44%
-9.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.0pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.63/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.65
+0% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
09.12.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
05.12.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-1 HT 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
28.10.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 2-3 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
26.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 3-3 HT 1-2 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.04.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 5-1 HT 3-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
08.02.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo ran out comfortable winners over Once Deportivo 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luis Angel Firpo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 2.00 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo?

Luis Angel Firpo 4-1 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 47%, draw 25%, Once Deportivo 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
27 Feb 2025
00:00 Aguila vs Isidro Metapan Analysis →
00:30 Cacahuatique vs Dragon Analysis →
04:00 Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco Analysis →
05:00 FAS vs Municipal Limeno Analysis →