Alianza 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 27 Feb 2025

📅27/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.7pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 18%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.79/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.62
+4% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
03.12.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
30.11.2023 Alianza Alianza 4-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza saw off Fuerte San Francisco 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alianza and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Alianza 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 27/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Alianza 58%, draw 21%, Fuerte San Francisco 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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