Isidro Metapan 4-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 22 Jan 2026

📅22/01/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.46
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
37%
-9.8pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.86
-3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aguila
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
30.11.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
25.09.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-2 HT 1-2 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
24.07.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
24.04.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-2 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
27.02.2025 Aguila Aguila 2-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isidro Metapan beat Aguila 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Isidro Metapan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.50 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Aguila?

Isidro Metapan 4-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 22/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 27%, draw 33%, Aguila 40%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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