KFUM Oslo 3-2 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
1.86
Over Pick
58%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.15
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
25%
3.34
6+
12%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.2pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.44/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.74
-31% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.83 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
389 Passes 323
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2025 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
16.05.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
30.10.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOK
04.08.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
12.05.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-4 HT 0-4 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.08.2023 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
3-2
AWAY Fredrikstad
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo squeezed past Fredrikstad 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had KFUM Oslo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 41% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 59%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.17 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?

KFUM Oslo 3-2 Fredrikstad in the Norway - NM Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 42%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM Oslo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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