Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kayserispor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kayserispor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Kayserispor squeezed past Fatih Karagümrük 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kayserispor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: Kayserispor had 61% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 39%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.16 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kayserispor's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kayserispor and 2.83 for Fatih Karagümrük.
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Result & Final Score
Kayserispor 1 - 0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 45%, draw 28%, Fatih Karagümrük 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayserispor) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.