Brentford 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
12%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.69
1/2
8%
24.65
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
13%
6.21
X/2
9%
6.1
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
19%
3.58
2/X
11%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.25/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.21
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
20.6 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.89
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
236 Passes 506
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
03.04.2024 Brentford Brentford 0-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
06.12.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
27.07.2023 Brentford Brentford 0-2 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZPL
01.04.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-3 HT 2-2 Brentford Brentford İNP
14.10.2022 Brentford Brentford 2-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
4-2
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
2.17 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
339 Passes 405
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford saw off Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Brentford made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brentford had 46% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 54%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.17 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brentford and 1.17 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brentford 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brentford 36%, draw 27%, Brighton & Hove Albion 37%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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