West Ham United vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNP
1-1
HT 1-0
West Ham United
İNP
3-1
HT 1-0
West Ham United
FAK
2-3
HT 0-1
Southampton
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
West Ham United 1-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United and Southampton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was West Ham United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, West Ham United had 52% of the ball to Southampton's 48%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.91 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 1.17 for Southampton.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Southampton?
West Ham United 1-1 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 49%, draw 23%, Southampton 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.