Everton 0-2 Manchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.19
1/2
7%
24.2
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
10%
8.09
X/2
15%
4.56
X/X
13%
4.92
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.56
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -26%
1.21/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.53
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
20.4 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Manchester City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.71 xG 1.78
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 633
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
12 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Everton Everton İNP
10.02.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
27.12.2023 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
14.05.2023 Everton Everton 0-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
31.12.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.02.2022 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-2
AWAY Manchester City
0.91 xG 2.04
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
249 Passes 596
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton vs Manchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City beat Everton 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Everton had 33% of the ball to Manchester City's 67%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.91 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Everton and 1.83 for Manchester City.

What was the final score of Everton vs Manchester City?

Everton 0-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Manchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Everton 28%, draw 27%, Manchester City 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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