Manchester City 1-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

Manchester City
1-1 HT 1-1
Everton
📅26/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester City vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.55
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
20.75
X/1
22%
3.56
X/2
7%
16.75
X/X
9%
7.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.7
2/2
6%
12.8
2/X
9%
21.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.32/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.17
+28% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
467 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.6 Crosses 12.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Manchester City vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Everton
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.85 xG 0.64
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
670 Passes 226
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Manchester City Manchester City 2-0 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
27.12.2023 Everton Everton 1-3 HT 1-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
14.05.2023 Everton Everton 0-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
31.12.2022 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.02.2022 Everton Everton 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City İNP
21.11.2021 Manchester City Manchester City 3-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP

Manchester City 1-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
1-1
AWAY Everton
2.09 xG 0.66
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
586 Passes 259
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
51 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City and Everton shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Manchester City at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester City had 66% of the ball to Everton's 34%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.09 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Manchester City and 0.33 for Everton.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Everton?

Manchester City 1-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 59%, draw 22%, Everton 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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