Bournemouth 0-0 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.78
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.87
X/2
8%
7.31
X/X
6%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.4
2/2
15%
4.93
2/X
12%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
1.57/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.21
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.3 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
363 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
06.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-2 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
13.05.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
31.12.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
15.09.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
20.06.2020 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-2 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
0-0
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.47 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
376 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth and Crystal Palace played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bournemouth had 52% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 48%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.47 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bournemouth and 1.00 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Bournemouth 0-0 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 43%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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