Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rayo Vallecano v Valencia — Team-Based Signals
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Valencia
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Rayo Vallecano
İS1
2-1
HT 1-0
Valencia
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Valencia
İS1
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia — Actual Match Statistics
Rayo Vallecano and Valencia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Rayo Vallecano had 57% of the ball to Valencia's 43%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.49 to 1.99.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 0.67 for Valencia.
What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Vallecano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano 38%, draw 31%, Valencia 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Vallecano) went the other way.