Burgos 2-2 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2025

Burgos
2-2 HT 1-1
Cadiz
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.73
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.0
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
11%
5.12
X/2
13%
5.86
X/X
14%
3.23
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
13%
4.9
2/X
7%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
33%
-4.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-8.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+8.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.23/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.57
-12% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.1 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cadiz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 0.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
289 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2024 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
2-2
AWAY Cadiz
1.12 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
289 Passes 391
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Cadiz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Burgos had 43% of the ball to Cadiz's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.12 to 1.43.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Cadiz?

Burgos 2-2 Cadiz in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burgos 39%, draw 28%, Cadiz 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
19 Apr 2025
15:00 Racing Ferrol vs Eldense Analysis →
17:15 Huesca vs Racing Santander Analysis →
19:30 Levante vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →