Levante 5-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
15%
4.29
X/2
12%
9.15
X/X
12%
5.05
2/1
8%
23.75
2/2
10%
7.33
2/X
9%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.13
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.8 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante İS2
09.08.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Levante Levante HAZ
06.04.2024 Levante Levante 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
20.12.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS2
31.03.2023 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
20.08.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
5-2
AWAY Real Zaragoza
4.01 xG 2.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
338 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levante vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante swept aside Real Zaragoza 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levante as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Levante had 48% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 52%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 4.01 to 2.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Levante and 1.00 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Levante vs Real Zaragoza?

Levante 5-2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Levante 47%, draw 25%, Real Zaragoza 28%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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