Racing Ferrol 1-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
16%
5.61
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.9
1/2
10%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
13%
6.12
X/2
13%
5.05
X/X
15%
3.63
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.65
2/X
9%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Eldense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
355 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Eldense Eldense 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
25.02.2024 Eldense Eldense 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
22.10.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-0
AWAY Eldense
0.93 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
284 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol edged past Eldense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Racing Ferrol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 50% of the ball to Eldense's 50%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.93 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eldense led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.00 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Eldense?

Racing Ferrol 1-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 29%, draw 30%, Eldense 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Eldense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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