Real Zaragoza 2-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 36% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
20%
4.86
X/2
8%
6.38
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.27/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.26
+6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.0 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Levante
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Levante Levante HAZ
06.04.2024 Levante Levante 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
20.12.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-2 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS2
31.03.2023 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
20.08.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
11.08.2018 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 1-1 Levante Levante HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-1
AWAY Levante
1.21 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
343 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza nicked a narrow win over Levante 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Zaragoza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 51% of the ball to Levante's 49%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.21 to 2.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Levante.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Zaragoza and 1.17 for Levante.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Levante?

Real Zaragoza 2-1 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 42%, draw 28%, Levante 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Zaragoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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