Eldense 1-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Eldense
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Oviedo
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Eldense vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.63
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.5
X/2
17%
5.33
X/X
20%
3.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.07
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.0pp
35%
Draw
32%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eldense v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.08
+17% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.3 Crosses 20.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Eldense vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
259 Passes 418
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
27.07.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense HAZ
04.02.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
01.10.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-3 HT 0-3 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Eldense 1-1 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
1-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.91 xG 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
244 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense and Real Oviedo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Eldense had 49% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 51%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.91 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eldense and 1.33 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Real Oviedo?

Eldense 1-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Eldense 34%, draw 35%, Real Oviedo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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