Racing Ferrol 1-4 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Racing Ferrol
1-4 HT 0-0
Albacete
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.38 — our 37% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.52
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
10%
5.98
X/X
19%
3.67
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
12%
4.7
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Ferrol v Albacete — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -23%
1.07/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.56
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.8 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Albacete
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.35 xG 1.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
400 Passes 218
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.03.2024 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
03.12.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 5-4 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.11.2021 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İSPK
01.03.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.09.2007 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
12.03.2006 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2

Racing Ferrol 1-4 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
1-4
AWAY Albacete
0.99 xG 2.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
353 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 32
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete swept aside Racing Ferrol 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Albacete found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 57% of the ball to Albacete's 43%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 0.99 to 2.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Racing Ferrol and 1.67 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Albacete?

Racing Ferrol 1-4 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 39%, draw 32%, Albacete 29%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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