Ceuta vs Marbella Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceuta v Marbella — Team-Based Signals
Ceuta vs Marbella Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Ceuta 3-1 Marbella — Actual Match Statistics
Ceuta beat Marbella 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ceuta as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ceuta had 63% of the ball to Marbella's 37%, shots finished 16-10.
What was the final score of Ceuta vs Marbella?
Ceuta 3-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Marbella?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 51%, draw 26%, Marbella 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.