Estepona 2-0 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 28%
-21% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.09/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.11
-16% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD San Fernando
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando 1-0 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
2-0
AWAY UD San Fernando
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estepona vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona got the better of UD San Fernando 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estepona as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Estepona had 50% of the ball to UD San Fernando's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Estepona vs UD San Fernando?

Estepona 2-0 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estepona 45%, draw 26%, UD San Fernando 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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