Grasshoppers 0-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
9%
8.76
X/X
14%
5.36
2/1
7%
22.45
2/2
12%
6.51
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.60/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.49
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.7 Crosses 13.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Winterthur
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
372 Passes 320
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
09.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
03.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.08.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 3-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
22.04.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
0-1
AWAY Winterthur
2.24 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 219
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur squeezed past Grasshoppers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Grasshoppers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 55% of the ball to Winterthur's 45%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.24 to 1.01 — on chances, Grasshoppers could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.50 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Grasshoppers 0-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 44%, draw 28%, Winterthur 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →