Grasshoppers 1-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.23
X/2
7%
8.72
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
8%
6.59
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.59/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.34
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.2 Crosses 12.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Winterthur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
09.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
03.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.08.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 3-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
22.04.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-2 HT 0-2 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
12.03.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-1
AWAY Winterthur
1.66 xG 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
344 Passes 318
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and Winterthur shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Grasshoppers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 51% of the ball to Winterthur's 49%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.66 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.50 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Grasshoppers 1-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grasshoppers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 52%, draw 27%, Winterthur 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grasshoppers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grasshoppers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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