Luzern 1-1 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.53
1/2
6%
22.55
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
7%
7.14
X/2
13%
5.05
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
20%
2.8
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.53 — our 24% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.44/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.38
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
20.3 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Young Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.75 xG 1.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 8
243 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
14.04.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 1-2 Luzern Luzern İSV
11.11.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
13.08.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
30.04.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 5-1 HT 3-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
05.02.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-1
AWAY Young Boys
0.90 xG 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 12
263 Passes 238
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern and Young Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Luzern had 51% of the ball to Young Boys's 49%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.90 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Luzern and 3.17 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Young Boys?

Luzern 1-1 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Luzern 37%, draw 25%, Young Boys 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Young Boys) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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