OH Leuven 4-4 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.06
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.0
X/2
7%
6.93
X/X
13%
4.5
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
5.08
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.66/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.50
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.9
16.0 Crosses 29.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
388 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.02.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
09.11.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
4-4
AWAY Dender EH
1.60 xG 2.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
335 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Dender EH couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OH Leuven had 48% of the ball to Dender EH's 52%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.60 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OH Leuven and 1.50 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Dender EH?

OH Leuven 4-4 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 45%, draw 29%, Dender EH 26%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OH Leuven), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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