Sporting Charleroi 3-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.26
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.39
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
6.57
X/X
12%
4.8
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.44
2/X
5%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 6.57 — our 16% vs market 11.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.57/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.50
-33% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.4 Crosses 17.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mechelen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.76 xG 1.92
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
31.08.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 5-2 HT 3-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.12.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 2-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
11.11.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
05.02.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
12.11.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-5 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3-0
AWAY Mechelen
2.53 xG 2.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 24
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi ran out comfortable winners over Mechelen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Sporting Charleroi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 52% of the ball to Mechelen's 48%, shots finished 13-24, expected goals 2.53 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.50 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Sporting Charleroi 3-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 39%, draw 24%, Mechelen 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
19 Apr 2025
17:00 OH Leuven vs Dender EH Analysis →
21:45 Standard Liege vs Westerlo Analysis →