FC Molodechno 0-4 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
39%
3.35
Away
32%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.44
6+ Goals
6%
23.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 36% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
28%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.9pp
39%
Draw
26%
+12.4pp
32%
Away Win
50%
-18.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
224 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Molodechno
0-4
AWAY Vitebsk
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Molodechno vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk swept aside FC Molodechno 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 39% / 32% — and on the day Vitebsk made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, FC Molodechno had 46% of the ball to Vitebsk's 54%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of FC Molodechno vs Vitebsk?

FC Molodechno 0-4 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Molodechno vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Molodechno 29%, draw 39%, Vitebsk 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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