Isloch Minsk 3-0 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.58
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
53% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-0 HT 2-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
01.06.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
21.10.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 5-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
27.05.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
3-0
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk cruised past Naftan Novopolotsk 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Isloch Minsk as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 54% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 46%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Isloch Minsk and 0.75 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Isloch Minsk 3-0 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 47%, draw 26%, Naftan Novopolotsk 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isloch Minsk), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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